Do Government Guaranteed Small Business Loans Promote Economic Growth and Entrepreneurship?
This paper examines the impact of government guaranteed small business loans on urban economic growth, and compares the growth impacts of government versus market financed entrepreneurship. OLS estimates indicate a significant and positive relation between the Small Business Administration’s guaranteed loans and metropolitan growth between 1993 and 2002. However, first-difference and instrumental variable regressions show no growth impact from government guaranteed loans. In contrast, market entrepreneurship significantly and positively contributes to local economic growth. The results imply that, at least from an efficiency perspective, there are no net gains to the local economy from government guaranteed small business loans.